For more than a month attention of the Western expert and political establishment is turned towards the border between Ukraine and Russia in close proximity to which the latter amasses its troops. The recent online meeting between the presidents of Russia and the US has not brought the desirable de-escalation. On the contrary, Russia now tries to capitalize on its military build-up by publicly proposing the US and NATO to conclude treaties on “security guarantees” that, in particular, would preclude NATO from further enlargement and make the Alliance cease its activities in Eastern Europe, South Caucasus, and Central Asia.
While analysing the ways to end the ongoing tensions, some observers tend to focus primarly on the geopolitical agendas and motives of the leadership of Russia, the US, and the EU, while downplaying the interest of Ukraine as a state that suffers the most from the aggressive policies of its northern neighbour. Thus, in order to have a complete picture before jumping into conclusions, it is important to understand what Ukraine’s citizens think about the ongoing situation and how this correlates with the outside perceptions of the moods in the Ukrainian society. Below we briefly present the result of the recent national public opinion polls that may help to shed some light on this issue.
First, it should be recalled that 71% of the Ukrainian population judge that Ukraine and Russia are at war with each other, and the majority of Ukrainians (53.5%) define the Donbas armed conflict as Russian aggression with the use of local proxies against Ukraine.[1] A large majority (72%) in December consider Russia as a hostile country[2] and are in favour of introduction of visa regime with the latter (52%). Moreover, a large majority of Ukrainians (76,7%) find the President Putin untrustworthy.[3] At the same time, attitudes towards ordinary Russians remain positive (75%). This may be partly explained by the fact that the same majority of Ukrainians (76%) believe that Russian citizens do not have influence over the Kremlin’s policies.[4]
Secondly, Ukrainians are dissatisfied with the current framework of peace negotiations given a little progress in the settlement of the Donbas conflict. According to the recent poll by Rating Group, 54% of surveyed think that the Minsk agreements should be renegotiated and a new document should be signed, while 21% would like Ukraine to leave the negotiation process completely. At the same time, only 11% stated that they know the substance of the accords well enough. Consequently, there is a request to change the current format of negotiations by adding the US and the UK to the Normandy talks (45%), while only 11% choose to preserve the format as it is. Direct talks either with Russia or representatives of the so-called “LPR” and “DPR” without international partners are supported by a third of respondents (21% and 12% respectively). Interestingly, when asked about direct talks with Russia as a no-alternative option, more than a half of surveyed (56%) would have them rather than not (41%).
At the same time, in the light of the aforementioned Russia’s proposal to the West, most Ukrainians (59 %) do not believe that Russia will stop its aggressive policy towards Ukraine if Kyiv drops the idea to join the EU and NATO. It should be noted that acquiring membership in these organisations is supported by the majority of the country’s population (60,7% and 52,7% respectively).[5]
Turning to surveys of Russian public opinion, a majority of surveyed Russian citizens blame the West (US and NATO) (50%) and Ukraine (16%) for the current escalation, and only 4% believe that Russia is responsible. Moreover, a large majority of Russians (75%) do not rule out that the growing tensions on the East of Ukraine could turn into a full-fledged war between Russia and Ukraine.[6] This shows that the Russian society lives in different informational environment, and it will not be a difficult task for the Kremlin to provide the Russian citizens with justification for any potential aggressive action towards Ukraine.
Last but not least, when Ukrainians are asked about their response to a possible Russian incursion, 50.2% of Ukrainians respondents were willing to show resistance: a third stated that they would take up arms against Russia while over a fifth (21.5%) would resort to different forms of civil resistance. While numbers vary across the country, it is noteworthy that 25.6% residents of east said they would be willing to show armed resistance, and 16.8% resistance in other ways. Moreover, a quarter of supporters of the biggest pro-Russian party “The Opposition Block – For Life” stated that they are ready to resist the Russian attack.[7]
Based on the results of these polls, one may conclude that Ukrainian society has a clear view on the causes of the ongoing conflict and is not willing to sacrifice such fundamentals as the integration into Western political, economic and military structures for some vague promise by the Russian side to abandon its aggressive policies in the future. The policy-makers should take into account these public moods and acknowledge Ukraine’s “red lines” when entering negotiations with the Kremlin. Otherwise, any possible deal between the West and Russia would have catastrophic consequences for the stability and security of Ukraine and Europe as a whole.
[1] According to the survey by the Ilko Kucheriv Democratic Initiatives Foundations conducted in May 2021.
[2] Survey by the Rating Group, December 2021.
[3] According to the survey “Diplomacy 2022: Foreign policy expectations by Ukrainian society” conducted by the New Europe Center in November 2021.
[4] Survey by the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology, December 2021.
[5] According to the survey “Diplomacy 2022: Foreign policy expectations by Ukrainian society” conducted by the New Europe Center in November 2021.
[6] According to the survey by the Levada-Center, December 2021.
[7] Survey by the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology, December 2021.
Click here
[url=https://techmaster60.com/] techmaster60 [/url]
techmaster60
dabwoods disposable
[url=https://situsgacor.wiki/] Link LVTOGEL [/url]
Link LVTOGEL
======
I was just looking for this information for a while. After six hours of continuous Googleing, finally I got it in your web site. I wonder what is the lack of Google strategy that do not rank this kind of informative websites in top of the list. Normally the top websites are full of garbage. sectional outdoor
SLOT ONLINE TERBAIK
Visit: Best Free File Hosting Websites and Services
find out more
— Aw, this has been a really good post. In notion I must put in place writing such as this moreover – taking time and actual effort to create a really good article… but so what can I say… I procrastinate alot by no means seem to get something carried out. natura juicery
==========
Have you ever wondered who posts some of this stuff that you come across? Recently it seems to have become an epidemic, although it seems to be changing for the better. Do you agree? Gummy Vitamins for kids
========
You have observed very interesting points! ps decent internet site. Conversational AI for enterprise companies
토토사이트
so happy to find good place to many here in the post, the writing is just great, thanks for the post.
I like viewing web sites which comprehend the price of delivering the excellent useful resource free of charge. I truly adored reading your posting. Thank you!
======
magnificent post, very informative. I wonder why the other experts of this sector do not notice this. You should continue your writing. I am confident, you’ve a huge readers’ base already! cotton double bedsheet
=======
Howdy, I just hopped over to your web page by means of StumbleUpon. Now not one thing I’d normally learn, but I appreciated your feelings none the less. Thank you for making one thing value reading. mawar189
=========
Attractive section of content. I just stumbled upon your weblog and in accession capital to assert that I acquire actually enjoyed account your blog posts. Any way I’ll be subscribing to your augment and even I achievement you access consistently quickly. Flyer and Leaflets printing in leicester
I did enjoyed reading it, I will be sure to bookmark your blog and definitely will come back from again…
Visit: CRM Workforce Management
=============
I’m new to your blog and i really appreciate the nice posts and great layout.”~~-. Betting Sites
Visit: Car Accident Lawyer Baltimore Rafaellaw.com
=============
This may be the proper weblog for everyone who wishes to be familiar with this topic. You are aware of so much its nearly hard to argue to you (not that I really would want…HaHa). You certainly put a brand new spin with a topic thats been discussing for a long time. Wonderful stuff, just great! Packers and Movers in Bharuch
==========
I do accept as true with all of the concepts you have presented in your post. They are very convincing and can definitely work. Still, the posts are very short for newbies. Could you please extend them a bit from subsequent time? Thank you for the post. penis envy mushrooms
========
I am so happy to read this. This is the type of manual that needs to be given and not the accidental misinformation that’s at the other blogs. Appreciate your sharing this greatest doc. sbobet88
This is exactly what I was looking for. Thanks for sharing this great article! That is very interesting Smile I love reading and I am always searching for informative information like this!
==========
I like this website very much so much fantastic information.excel performance versus targets chart bullet chart
I must say that overall I am really impressed with this blog. It is easy to see that you are passionate about your writing. If only I had your writing ability I look forward to more updates and will be returning.
construction security
===========
Websites we think you should visit… [...]although websites we backlink to below are considerably not related to ours, we feel they are actually worth a go through, so have a look[...]…… best bitcoin casinos
top logo design companies
outstanding minimalist logo
— some tanning salons have high power uv lamps which can shorten the amount of time you need to expose yourself:: online discounts daily
— I really like what you guys tend to be up too. This type of clever work and reporting! Keep up the fantastic works guys I’ve you guys to blogroll. תוכנה לוואטסאפ
— I think this is one of the most vital info for me. And i am glad reading your article. But should remark on some general things, The web site style is perfect, the articles is really great: D. Good job, cheers buy cocaine online
— you’ve a fantastic blog right here! would you wish to make some invite posts on my blog? guest information
========================
I don’t ordinarily comment but I gotta admit appreciate it for the post on this perfect one: D. Calgary Wedding Photographer
Pretty good post. I just stumbled upon your blog and wanted to say that I have really enjoyed reading your blog posts. Any way I’ll be subscribing to your feed and I hope you post again soon.
— I love your web design, wherever did you obtain it through? Weed dealer Melbourne
This is a really good post this. Truly, a magnificent art is making an article. And you are quite a master at that art. I would tell you to keep on continuing this awesome work of yours
fashion blog
Algotech adalah sebuah perusahaan yang bergerak dibidang jasa website medan, dimana anda dapat melakukan custom website.
— my English teacher hate me cause i keep writing about somebody from The WANTED called Jay, she gives me evils and low home interior designers in Pune
— Sweet website, super pattern, rattling clean and use friendly. freefull
Banyaknya contoh keberhasilan bisnis secara online serta meningkatnya kebutuhan hidup yang kian beragam menjadi pelengkap besarnya animo masyarakat luas.
bba colleges in uttarakhand
=======
This is a excellent blog, could you be involved in doing an interview about how you created it? If so e-mail me! gentry manor condo
========================
Have you ever thought about creating an e-book or guest authoring on other blogs? I have a blog based upon on the same information you discuss and would really like to have you share some stories/information. I know my readers would value your work. If you are even remotely interested, feel free to shoot me an email. slot mantap
— Your current blogs usually have got a lot of really up to date info. Where do you come up with this? Just saying you are very inspiring. Thanks again link gacor
I like viewing web sites which comprehend the price of delivering the excellent useful resource free of charge. I truly adored reading your posting. Thank you!
Dapatkan paket pembuatan website sesuai kebutuhan bisnis Anda. Klik link ini semoga bermanfaat bagi anda Jasa web medan"
stocklot garment buyers
===========================
I notice myself coming to your blog progressively frequently to the point where my visits are almost day-after-day now! kaisar138 slot
— Very efficiently written article. It will be useful to anyone who employess it, as well as me. ejtandemonium.com
— Great web site! I’m loving it!!! Will come back once again. I am book-marking your feeds additionally Cadeau meisje 5 jaar
Amazing knowledge and I like to share this kind of information with my friends and hope they like it they why I do.
best deals" />
<a href=«www.kashmirtourbazaar.com/cheapest-kashmir-tour-packages/>
— Hi there, I discovered your website by way of Google while searching for a comparable topic, your website came up, it looks good. I’ve bookmarked it in my google bookmarks. 토토사이트
Alphathum
cyberthum
bhutani cyberthum
bhutani technopark
bhutani 62 avenue
Alphathum Noida
city center 150
bhutani city center 150
city center 150 noida
bhutani avenue 62
ace group projects
ace aquacasa
ace starlit
ace divino
ace medley avenue
m3m commercial project noida
m3m residential project noida
m3m sector 150 noida
m3m sector 129 noida
m3m sector 94 noida
m3m noida projects
m3m noida
m3m new launch project noida
crc commercial project
paras sector 129
amaatra crystal
amaatra crystal homes
amaatra crystal nh24
amaatra ghaziabad
paras avenue
paras avenue noida
freelance webdesigner noida
freelance seo manager noida
mahagun medalleo
mahagun medalleo noida
godrej woods noida
mahagun medalleo
crc joyous
migsun janpath
omaxe karol bagh
orion 132
fairfox eon
gygy noida
paras avenue noida
bhutani 62 avenue
=============
I have read a few of the articles on your website now, and I really like your style of blogging. I added it to my favorites blog site list and will be checking back soon. Please check out my site as well and let me know what you think. Youtube to MP3
Brandon Merrill
=====
This is very interesting content! I have thoroughly enjoyed reading your points and have come to the conclusion that you are right about many of them. You are great. pragmatic
Mengenal apa itu website, jenis, dan manfaat website untuk bisnis.